Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.016680 0.019450 0.022510 0.026138 0.030319 0.034982 0.040573
2025-11-16 0.012322 0.015838 0.020087 0.025587 0.032502 0.040893 0.051832
2025-11-23 0.009278 0.012993 0.017851 0.024636 0.033834 0.045830 0.062619
2025-11-30 0.007793 0.011765 0.017328 0.025631 0.037639 0.054295 0.079055
2025-12-07 0.006403 0.010353 0.016241 0.025568 0.039864 0.060815 0.093667
2025-12-14 0.005166 0.008902 0.014801 0.024672 0.040628 0.065208 0.105660
2025-12-21 0.004338 0.007924 0.013892 0.024391 0.042197 0.070887 0.120197
2025-12-28 0.003953 0.007610 0.013990 0.025725 0.046491 0.081306 0.143468
2026-01-04 0.003537 0.007158 0.013763 0.026435 0.049778 0.090396 0.165549
2026-01-11 0.002996 0.006370 0.012803 0.025665 0.050307 0.094769 0.179932
2026-01-18 0.002608 0.005810 0.012173 0.025396 0.051675 0.100714 0.197704
2026-01-25 0.002217 0.005171 0.011286 0.024484 0.051666 0.104076 0.211006
2026-02-01 0.001905 0.004652 0.010573 0.023846 0.052163 0.108556 0.227180
2026-02-08 0.001688 0.004307 0.010175 0.023803 0.053864 0.115572 0.249147
2026-02-15 0.001457 0.003886 0.009541 0.023151 0.054184 0.119834 0.266024
2026-02-22 0.001372 0.003804 0.009664 0.024217 0.058381 0.132585 0.301967
2026-03-01 0.001231 0.003554 0.009352 0.024224 0.060193 0.140449 0.328326
2026-03-08 0.001065 0.003203 0.008737 0.023407 0.059982 0.143849 0.345260
2026-03-15 0.000948 0.002968 0.008374 0.023157 0.061080 0.150290 0.369705
2026-03-22 0.000913 0.002958 0.008596 0.024436 0.066086 0.166260 0.417768
2026-03-29 0.000855 0.002868 0.008592 0.025117 0.069675 0.179268 0.460209
2026-04-05 0.000751 0.002615 0.008093 0.024387 0.069526 0.183258 0.481399
2026-04-12 0.000675 0.002438 0.007782 0.024132 0.070598 0.190360 0.510973